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Update shared on03 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 2.87%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$867.46
9.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
03 Oct
US$945.49
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1Y
2.4%
7D
2.7%

The analyst price target for Monolithic Power Systems has increased from $843.23 to $867.46, reflecting analysts' optimism about the company's expanding product share and multiple growth drivers across Enterprise Data, Communications, and Automotive sectors.

Analyst Commentary

Recent updates from street research highlight a wave of price target increases for Monolithic Power Systems, underscoring positive sentiment surrounding the company’s long-term growth drivers. Analysts continue to monitor industry and company-specific factors influencing the outlook.

Bullish Takeaways

  • Analysts increased price targets, supported by Monolithic Power’s expanding market share in critical sectors such as Enterprise Data and Automotive.
  • There is sustained confidence in product and customer ramps driving diversified growth, particularly in Enterprise Data and Communications for the second half of 2025 and into 2026.
  • Enterprise Data revenue has shown significant historical growth and is expected to meet or exceed consensus expectations in the coming fiscal year.
  • Increased exposure to high speed optical modules and new product launches are viewed as enhancing the company’s valuation and paving the way for further market share gains.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Some analysts remain cautious on short-term prospects for the Enterprise segment, modeling a more moderate decline than company guidance. There are concerns about near-term demand and sub-seasonal growth in the latter half of the year.
  • Mixed supply chain findings and tariff-related pull-ins are highlighted as factors that could temper upside potential or create volatility across quarters.
  • Although China remains resilient as a region, slowing momentum is noted as a lingering risk factor for overall company revenue growth.

What's in the News

  • The company completed repurchase of 4,000 shares valued at $2.71 million under the buyback announced on February 6, 2025 (Buyback Tranche Update).
  • The company issued new financial guidance for the third quarter of 2025, projecting revenue between $710 million and $730 million and a GAAP gross margin of 54.9% to 55.5% (Corporate Guidance: New/Confirmed).
  • The company announced a strategic partnership with ECARX Holdings to collaborate on automotive intelligence, robotics, and AI, with the goal of building a global supply chain and accelerating product rollout and market entry (Strategic Alliances).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen from $843.23 to $867.46. This reflects a modest upward adjustment in perceived fair value.
  • Discount Rate has increased slightly from 9.96% to 10.08%, indicating a marginally higher required return or risk assessment.
  • Revenue Growth expectations have ticked up from 15.48% to 15.66%. This suggests a small improvement in growth outlook.
  • Net Profit Margin has edged down from 26.20% to 25.54%, reflecting a slight decrease in forecasted profitability.
  • Future P/E Ratio estimate has risen from 49.15x to 51.79x, signaling higher anticipated earnings multiples going forward.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.