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AnalystConsensusTarget updated the narrative for MKSI

Update shared on 18 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 10%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
35.3%
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-7.8%

Analysts have raised their price target for MKS Inc. from approximately $127 to $139. This change reflects stronger forecasts for revenue growth and profit margins, as well as increased confidence following recent positive industry meetings and semiconductor sector outlooks.

Analyst Commentary

Recent Street research on MKS Inc. highlights a range of perspectives regarding the company’s near- and medium-term outlook. Analysts have been active in raising price targets and revising forecasts amid evolving industry dynamics and increasing focus on artificial intelligence and semiconductor trends.

Bullish Takeaways

  • Bullish analysts have increased price targets, reflecting improved expectations for revenue and profit margin expansion over the next few years, with anticipated double-digit growth in key business lines.
  • Positive feedback from major industry events, such as SEMICON West, has enhanced confidence in near-term demand for wafer fabrication equipment and AI-related technologies.
  • Momentum in the company’s advanced packaging segment, especially its growing exposure to AI, is viewed as supportive of continued outperformance and higher long-term growth rates.
  • Analysts see the potential for upside catalysts in the coming quarters, including anticipated strength in the memory segment and accelerated investment recovery across all end markets.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Bullish sentiment is partially tempered by concerns that expectations for 2026 wafer fab equipment may be running high, raising the risk of disappointment if industry growth moderates.
  • Some analysts note that recent positive trends are heavily concentrated in specific segments, making the broader growth trajectory vulnerable to slowdowns in memory or advanced packaging investment.
  • Cautious guidance for upcoming quarters signals that some execution hurdles remain, and investors may need to manage expectations around the pace and timing of revenue realization.

What's in the News

  • MKS Inc. completed a share buyback program that started in 2011, repurchasing a total of 3,133,716 shares. This accounts for 5.64% of shares for $172.26 million. No shares were bought back during the most recent quarter. (Key Developments)
  • The company issued new earnings guidance for the third quarter of 2025, projecting revenue of $960 million, plus or minus $40 million, and GAAP net income of $67 million, plus or minus $21 million. Expected GAAP net income per diluted share is $0.99, plus or minus $0.31. (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • The Fair Value Estimate has increased from $126.69 to $139.38, reflecting greater confidence in the company’s prospects.
  • The Discount Rate has declined slightly from 12.29% to 12.23%, indicating a modest reduction in perceived risk.
  • The Revenue Growth projection has risen from 5.41% to 5.72%, suggesting improved expectations for future sales expansion.
  • The Net Profit Margin forecast has moved higher from 10.47% to 11.14%, pointing to anticipated gains in operational efficiency and profitability.
  • The Future P/E Ratio estimate has increased modestly from 25.81x to 26.40x, signaling higher valuation multiples assigned by analysts.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.