Update shared on 01 Nov 2025
Fair value Increased 24%KLA's analyst price target has increased significantly to $1,271.88 from $1,026.32. Analysts cite improving revenue growth forecasts and ongoing strength in the company's core markets as key drivers of optimism.
Analyst Commentary
Recent analyst actions reflect both growing optimism and a continued awareness of risks surrounding KLA's future prospects and valuation. The investment community's commentary spotlights multiple growth drivers, operational achievements, and lingering market headwinds.
Bullish Takeaways
- Bullish analysts have lifted price targets substantially, bolstered by strong quarterly performance and guidance that met or exceeded expectations. This signals confidence in KLA’s execution.
- KLA’s position as a dominant provider in process control markets is highlighted. There is anticipation that technological transitions will increase demand for their solutions.
- Exposure to artificial intelligence compute investment is seen as a significant tailwind, as industry shifts are expected to raise demand for advanced semiconductor manufacturing equipment.
- Improved sentiment around DRAM fab investment and clarity around backlog and order trends provide further support for near-term and medium-term growth forecasts.
Bearish Takeaways
- Bearish analysts remain cautious regarding KLA’s valuation, with some tempering their rating despite raising price targets. Growth projections for 2026 may be overly optimistic.
- Potential market volatility stemming from geopolitical developments, such as changes to U.S. semiconductor policy, could introduce new challenges for end-market stability.
- China-related risks, particularly concerning the wafer fab equipment market, persist. KLA’s business model, however, provides some insulation against these headwinds.
- Expectations for surging wafer fab equipment demand may heighten execution risk if industry investment moderates or competitive dynamics change unexpectedly.
What's in the News
- KLA Corporation issued earnings guidance for the second quarter ending December 31, 2025, projecting total revenues in the range of $3.225 billion plus or minus $150 million. GAAP diluted EPS is expected between $7.68 and $9.24 (Corporate Guidance; New/Confirmed).
- Between April 1, 2025 and June 30, 2025, KLA repurchased 576,814 shares for $425.51 million. This brings the total buyback to 17,776,843 shares, or 12.58% of shares outstanding, since the program's launch in June 2022 (Buyback Tranche Update).
Valuation Changes
- Consensus Analyst Price Target has increased notably from $1,026.32 to $1,271.88, reflecting greater confidence in future potential.
- Discount Rate has risen slightly, moving from 10.22% to 10.25%.
- Revenue Growth expectations have edged higher from 7.61% to 8.41%.
- Net Profit Margin has improved modestly, advancing from 35.72% to 36.04%.
- Future P/E has increased from 32.01x to 37.04x, indicating higher valuations relative to projected earnings.
Disclaimer
AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
