Update shared on 17 Nov 2025
Fair value Increased 1.91%Analysts have raised their price target for Simon Property Group from $188.40 to $192.00. This reflects recent positive updates to sector models and company fundamentals.
Analyst Commentary
Recent analyst updates reflect a mix of optimism and caution regarding Simon Property Group's valuation, fundamentals, and sector positioning.
Bullish Takeaways- Bullish analysts have raised price targets for Simon Property Group multiple times, signaling confidence in the company's ongoing execution and recent capital markets activities.
- Updates to sector and company models, following positive earnings results and refined forecasts, have contributed to upward adjustments in target prices.
- Some analysts anticipate that continued growth in funds from operations, along with proactive refinements for future quarters, could further support Simon Property Group's long-term valuation.
- Recent capital transactions and strategic adjustments have been cited as positive indicators for future performance and provide a foundation for bullish outlooks.
- Bearish analysts have expressed caution due to perceived valuation risks. Some note that the shares are already trading above certain price targets, which may limit near-term upside.
- There has been at least one recent downgrade to a Hold rating, reflecting concerns about the company's implied cap rate and overall sector positioning rather than its underlying fundamentals.
- Revisions to future earnings estimates have not all been upward. While near-term expectations may have improved, longer-term forecasts have shown some moderation.
What's in the News
- Simon unveiled plans for Sagefield, a 100-acre luxury lifestyle destination in Williamson County featuring boutique retail, farm-to-table dining, a luxury hotel, spa, members club, and extensive green spaces. This project is in collaboration with Sam Fox and AJ Capital Partners (Key Developments).
- The Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $2.20 per share for Q4 2025, representing a 4.8% increase year-over-year. The dividend is payable December 31, 2025 (Key Developments).
- Simon provided earnings guidance for fiscal 2025, projecting net income attributable to common stockholders per diluted share in the range of $6.74 to $6.84 (Key Developments).
- IEM and Simon announced the rollout of new experiential "micro spaces" in malls. These spaces allow high-growth brands to test brick-and-mortar retail with modular services and flexible leases (Key Developments).
- No shares were repurchased in the recent buyback tranche concluding September 30, 2025 under the program announced in February 2024 (Key Developments).
Valuation Changes
- Consensus Analyst Price Target has increased from $188.40 to $192.00, reflecting a rise of $3.60 per share.
- Discount Rate has edged down slightly from 7.86% to 7.77%.
- Revenue Growth projections have decreased considerably from 0.98% to 0.64%.
- Net Profit Margin estimates have declined modestly from 39.04% to 38.69%.
- Future P/E Ratio has risen slightly from 31.87x to 32.37x.
Disclaimer
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