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Update shared on 21 Oct 2025

Fair value Decreased 15%

Analysts Lower SITE Centers Price Target Amid Mixed Outlook and Revised Valuation Metrics

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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-53.3%
7D
-12.1%

Analysts have lowered their price target for SITE Centers from approximately $13.11 to $11.21. This change is based on updated research that reflects softer revenue growth expectations and a more conservative outlook on the company’s fair value.

Analyst Commentary

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts highlight that SITE Centers maintains a well-diversified portfolio that may support stable income, even in a challenging market environment.
  • They note that the company's balance sheet is considered relatively strong, which could offer flexibility as economic conditions evolve.
  • The property mix and locations are viewed as positioned to benefit from long-term shifts toward open-air retail.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts are cautious about near-term revenue growth, highlighting the revised price target as a reflection of modest expectations for rent increases and tenant demand.
  • Concerns are raised regarding potential headwinds that could affect future leasing activity and renewal spreads.
  • There is a focus on execution risk, especially as the company navigates an evolving retail landscape and responds to changing consumer patterns.
  • The current fair value estimate implies limited upside. As a result, some analysts take a wait-and-see approach until clearer signs of earnings momentum emerge.

What's in the News

  • The Board of Directors has announced a special cash distribution of $3.25 per common share, payable on August 29, 2025, to shareholders of record as of August 15, 2025 (Key Developments).
  • No shares were repurchased in the most recent tranche from April 1, 2025 to June 30, 2025. To date, the company has completed repurchasing 1,989,076 shares, representing 3.77 percent of shares for a total of $26.55 million under its December 2022 buyback program (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate has fallen from $13.11 to $11.21, reflecting a more conservative outlook.
  • Discount Rate has risen slightly from 8.29 percent to 8.37 percent, indicating increased perceived risk.
  • Revenue Growth projection has become more negative, with estimates declining from -12.32 percent to -18.37 percent.
  • Net Profit Margin forecast has improved modestly, rising from 7.12 percent to 8.56 percent.
  • Future P/E Ratio expectation has decreased from 104.1x to 91.9x, suggesting lower future earnings multiples.

Disclaimer

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