Loading...
Back to narrative

Update shared on08 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 0.37%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$63.26
4.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
22 Oct
US$60.22
Loading
1Y
-4.9%
7D
1.6%

Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Realty Income, raising it by $0.23 to $62.79. They cite expectations for steady earnings growth supported by the company's strong tenant diversification and resilient lease structures.

Analyst Commentary

Analyst responses to Realty Income's recent performance reflect a mix of optimism about the REIT's fundamentals alongside some caution regarding its valuation following a period of share price appreciation.

Bullish Takeaways

  • Bullish analysts see continued earnings growth potential, supported by the company's well-diversified tenant base and long-term lease structures.
  • There is an expectation that triple net REITs, including Realty Income, could see accelerating growth into 2026 due to the sector's stability and resilient income streams.
  • Attractive dividend yields and defensive characteristics of the portfolio are viewed as key factors supporting valuation and investor interest even in volatile markets.
  • Recent price target increases suggest confidence in the company's operational execution, especially in light of steady Q2 results.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Bearish analysts voice concern that the recent rally in Realty Income shares has pushed the valuation higher, potentially limiting near-term upside.
  • There is caution that other sectors, particularly those benefitting from supply corrections, could outperform Realty Income in the future.
  • Recent rating downgrades point to the risk that current prices may already reflect robust execution, leaving little room for disappointment.

What's in the News

  • Realty Income increased its monthly cash dividend to $0.2695 per share. This results in a new annualized dividend of $3.234 per share, up from $3.228 per share. (Key Developments)
  • The company reported provisions for impairment of real estate totaling $142,254,000 for the three months ended June 30, 2025, compared to $87,204,000 a year ago. (Key Developments)
  • Realty Income lowered its 2025 earnings guidance and now expects net income per share of $1.29 to $1.33, compared to the previous range of $1.40 to $1.46. (Key Developments)
  • No shares were repurchased under the buyback program announced in February 2025 for the period from April to June 2025. (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from $62.55 to $62.79 per share.
  • Discount Rate decreased marginally from 8.19% to 8.17%.
  • Revenue Growth expectation has fallen significantly from 4.11% to 1.09%.
  • Net Profit Margin improved from 26.55% to 28.03%.
  • Future P/E ratio increased modestly from 50.45x to 52.21x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.