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Update shared on05 Sep 2025

AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$83.14
4.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
10 Sep
US$79.23
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1Y
-4.9%
7D
0.2%

Analysts maintain a steady fair value for National Health Investors at $83.14, citing strong Q2 results, a positive management outlook, expected rent increases, and potential value-creation opportunities as key drivers supporting the stock's outlook despite no change in the price target.


Analyst Commentary


  • Bullish analysts cited National Health Investors’ Q2 earnings beat and management’s improved forward outlook as key drivers behind upward price target revisions.
  • Healthy earnings growth is projected, supported by the upcoming 2026-end rent reset for National Healthcare Corporation and a favorable investment yield spread over the company's cost of capital.
  • Multiple value-creation opportunities have been identified, which could drive upside to financial estimates and guidance.
  • Analysts see potential for increased unscheduled deferral repayments and better-than-expected investment execution as factors enhancing internal growth and exceeding consensus expectations.
  • An anticipated lease renewal with National Healthcare Corporation at a 10%-15% higher rental rate, while still uncertain, is improving sentiment and factored into revised targets.

What's in the News


  • Declared a quarterly dividend of $0.92 per share.
  • Added to multiple Russell growth and small cap indices, including Russell 2000 Growth, Russell 2500 Growth, Russell 3000 Growth, Russell Small Cap Comp Growth, Russell 3000E Growth, and Russell 2000 Growth-Defensive.

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for National Health Investors

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, at $83.14.
  • The Discount Rate for National Health Investors remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from 7.39% to 7.38%.
  • The Future P/E for National Health Investors remained effectively unchanged, at 29.66x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.