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Update shared on 20 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 50%

Optimized Pricing And Cost Controls Will Secure Real Estate Success

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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
306.2%
7D
-5.5%

Opendoor Technologies’ analyst price target has decreased from $1.14 to $1.71 per share as analysts cite concerns over widening losses for the remainder of the year and uncertainty surrounding the company’s strategic repositioning.

Analyst Commentary

Analysts have recently taken a more cautious tone on Opendoor Technologies, reflecting both challenges and opportunities facing the business as it navigates a highly uncertain environment. Their perspectives provide insight into key factors driving shares and future performance expectations.

Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts point to widening losses anticipated in the second half of the year. This raises concerns about sustained profitability and long-term business viability.
  • Many note that continued strategic repositioning introduces uncertainty, and execution risks could weigh on near-term results and market confidence.
  • Valuation concerns have emerged as shares are now trading near the upper range of historical multiples. This comes despite operational headwinds and an earnings miss in the most recent quarter.
  • Some warn that, although retail investor interest may offer near-term support for the stock price, fundamental challenges could drive further downside pressure if unaddressed.

What's in the News

  • Retail investors have surged into Opendoor Technologies and other heavily shorted stocks, contributing to a significant rise in share price as the "meme stock" trend resurfaces (Bloomberg).
  • Forbes highlights Opendoor as a key player in the latest wave of meme stocks, with social media posts fueling volatility and investor interest. However, shares have pulled back after reaching their peak (Forbes).
  • Opendoor recently launched the Opendoor Cash Registry in partnership with Birdie. This service enables homebuyers to create cash funds for major life transitions such as buying a first home, home improvements, or upgrades.
  • The company has undergone significant executive changes, including the appointment of Kaz Nejatian as Chief Executive Officer and Christy Schwartz as interim Chief Financial Officer.
  • Opendoor entered a stock purchase agreement for the private placement of over six million shares, raising nearly $41 million from major investors including Khosla Ventures and company insiders.

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has increased from $1.14 to $1.71, signaling higher expected value despite recent challenges.
  • Discount Rate has decreased slightly from 9.95% to 9.60%, reflecting a marginal reduction in perceived investment risk.
  • Revenue Growth projections have fallen significantly, moving from -2.93% to -6.76%. This indicates weaker expectations for top-line performance.
  • Net Profit Margin forecast has edged down modestly, shifting from 5.06% to 5.01%.
  • Future P/E has risen from 5.08x to 8.61x. This suggests a higher valuation multiple on expected future earnings.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.