Update shared on 04 Dec 2025
Fair value Increased 1.00%Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Hamilton Insurance Group to approximately $28.79 per share from $28.50. This reflects slightly stronger projected revenue growth that more than offsets a marginally lower profit margin and a higher expected future price to earnings multiple.
What's in the News
- From July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, Hamilton Insurance Group repurchased 1,779,782 shares, or about 1.78% of its outstanding stock, for $40.45 million under its existing buyback program, bringing total repurchases under the August 7, 2024 authorization to 5,414,027 shares, or 5.35%, for $113.82 million (Key Developments).
- On November 4, 2025, the company increased its equity buyback authorization by $150 million, doubling the total approved amount to $300 million and reflecting management’s view of its valuation and capital position (Key Developments).
Valuation Changes
- The fair value estimate has risen slightly to approximately $28.79 per share from $28.50, reflecting a modest upward revision in intrinsic value.
- The discount rate is effectively unchanged at about 6.96 percent, indicating a stable view of Hamilton Insurance Group’s risk profile and cost of capital.
- Revenue growth has increased moderately, with the long-term forecast moving from roughly 3.96 percent to about 4.52 percent, signaling stronger expected top-line expansion.
- The net profit margin has edged lower from about 16.87 percent to approximately 16.03 percent, implying slightly reduced profitability expectations on future earnings.
- The future P/E multiple has risen modestly from around 5.96x to roughly 6.24x, suggesting a small increase in the valuation investors are expected to assign to the company’s earnings.
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