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HCI: Future Margin Expansion Will Support Stronger Share Price Upside

Update shared on 08 Dec 2025

Fair value Increased 1.01%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
66.9%
7D
10.0%

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on HCI Group to approximately $234 from about $232, citing expectations for stronger revenue growth, improving profit margins, and a slightly lower valuation multiple outlook.

Valuation Changes

  • The fair value estimate has risen slightly from about $232 to approximately $234 per share.
  • The discount rate is effectively unchanged, edging down marginally from roughly 6.96 percent to 6.96 percent.
  • The revenue growth assumption has increased meaningfully, from about 12.7 percent to roughly 14.5 percent.
  • The net profit margin forecast has moved higher, from around 20.2 percent to approximately 21.7 percent.
  • The future P/E multiple has fallen noticeably, from roughly 18.0 times to about 16.2 times forward earnings.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.