Update shared on 10 Dec 2025
Fair value Decreased 0.086%Analysts have nudged their price target on AXIS Capital Holdings slightly lower to approximately $116.10 per share from about $116.20, reflecting only marginal tweaks to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P E assumptions, while maintaining a broadly stable outlook.
What's in the News
- Board of Directors authorizes a new share repurchase plan for AXIS Capital Holdings, setting the framework for future buybacks as of September 17, 2025 (company announcement).
- AXIS Capital Holdings launches a share repurchase program of up to $400 million in common shares, indicating a continued focus on returning capital to shareholders (company announcement).
- Between July 1, 2025 and September 3, 2025, the company repurchases 1,139,000 shares, equal to about 1.46% of shares outstanding, for roughly $109.93 million. This brings total buybacks under the February 19, 2025 authorization to 4,205,815 shares, or 5.19%, for $396.42 million (buyback tranche update).
- From September 17, 2025 to September 30, 2025, the company reports no shares repurchased and no additional capital deployed under the newly announced buyback plan (buyback tranche update).
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value Estimate: edged down slightly from $116.20 to $116.10 per share, reflecting a minor reassessment of underlying assumptions.
- Discount Rate: remained unchanged at 6.956 percent, implying effectively steady risk and return expectations.
- Revenue Growth: remained essentially flat at approximately 4.08 percent, signaling no material change in top line growth assumptions.
- Net Profit Margin: held effectively steady at about 15.81 percent, indicating a stable outlook for underlying profitability.
- Future P/E: slipped slightly from 8.36x to 8.35x, suggesting a modestly lower valuation multiple applied to projected earnings.
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