Update shared on22 Aug 2025
Fair value Decreased 7.46%BellRing Brands’ consensus price target was reduced from $56.73 to $52.50 as analysts weighed robust near-term consumption trends against recent execution missteps, increased competitive pressure, and lower peer valuations, moderating expectations for near-term earnings growth.
Analyst Commentary
- Bullish analysts point to strong recent consumption trends for BellRing’s Premier brand, particularly from a successful Costco member event, supporting a positive Q4 outlook and sustained high-teen to low-20s growth targets.
- Bearish analysts cite market concerns over BellRing’s competitive positioning in the ready-to-drink (RTD) protein category following execution missteps over two quarters, leading to a loss of investor confidence and removal from select top investment lists.
- There is concern regarding competitive incursions in BellRing’s high-growth categories, with management’s cautious commentary contributing to negative sentiment; however, some analysts view the recent significant share pullback as overdone considering achievable long-term growth targets.
- Several analysts have adjusted price targets downward due to revised models reflecting lower near-term EBITDA expectations and multiple compression among high-growth consumer peers.
- Despite increased competition, category health, and room for multiple winners remain key bullish arguments, and some analysts are optimistic management will raise guidance as fundamentals stabilize.
What's in the News
- BellRing Brands narrowed fiscal year 2025 net sales guidance to $2.28 billion–$2.32 billion.
- The company repurchased 1,274,946 shares for $82.96 million between April 1 and June 30, 2025, completing 1,559,521 shares for $102.96 million of its planned buyback.
- Added to the Russell 1000 Value-Defensive Index.
- Added to the Russell 1000 Defensive Index.
Valuation Changes
Summary of Valuation Changes for BellRing Brands
- The Consensus Analyst Price Target has fallen from $56.73 to $52.50.
- The Future P/E for BellRing Brands has fallen from 26.86x to 24.81x.
- The Discount Rate for BellRing Brands remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from 8.13% to 8.06%.
Disclaimer
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