Loading...
Back to narrative

AnalystConsensusTarget updated the narrative for BRBR

Update shared on 10 Oct 2025

Fair value Decreased 2.04%
n/a
n/a
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
n/a
Loading
1Y
-60.4%
7D
-7.0%

Analysts have lowered their price target on BellRing Brands from $52.50 to approximately $51.43. The adjustment reflects moderated expectations for revenue growth and profit margins, despite ongoing optimism around demand trends and the company's ability to navigate competitive pressures.

Analyst Commentary

Following recent price target adjustments and updates to their outlook, analysts remain divided on BellRing Brands’ near-term prospects and long-term growth trajectory. Their assessments capture both optimism around demand trends and caution regarding competitive execution and valuation risks.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts highlight robust August consumption trends for the Premier brand, noting strong performance driven by targeted promotions and ongoing consumer demand.
  • There is consensus that recent pullbacks in share price may be overdone. Several analysts expect BellRing to achieve its long-term sales growth targets of 10-12% in the coming years.
  • Despite competitive pressures, analysts remain confident in the health of the ready-to-drink protein category. They suggest there is room for multiple winners and sustained volume growth for BellRing.
  • Some believe management’s guidance may prove conservative and anticipate potential upside if execution improves and market trends continue favorably.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts point to recent downward price target revisions, which reflect concerns about margin compression and the company’s positioning in a more competitive landscape.
  • There are questions about the company’s ability to consistently execute. Disappointing results over multiple quarters have eroded some investors’ confidence.
  • Removal from prominent investment lists signals that sentiment has shifted. BellRing must address market skepticism around its operational performance.
  • The risk that competition could further intensify raises uncertainty around BellRing’s ability to defend or grow its market share at historical rates.

What's in the News

  • The Board of Directors has authorized a new share buyback plan. This was announced on September 2, 2025. (Key Developments)
  • BellRing Brands has completed the repurchase of 3,100,000 shares, representing 2.44% of outstanding shares, for a total of $123.4 million under a buyback plan announced on March 6, 2025. (Key Developments)
  • A new share repurchase program has been announced, enabling up to $400 million in buybacks over two years. (Key Developments)
  • The company cancelled a previously planned buyback on August 29, 2025. (Key Developments)
  • BellRing Brands narrowed its full-year 2025 net sales guidance to a range of $2.28 billion to $2.32 billion. (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has decreased slightly, moving from $52.50 to $51.43 per share.
  • Discount Rate has declined modestly from 8.16% to 8.05%, which reflects a small reduction in perceived risk.
  • Revenue Growth projection has eased, shifting from 8.13% to 7.96% annually.
  • Net Profit Margin estimate has fallen marginally, from 11.11% to 11.06%.
  • Future P/E ratio has decreased slightly, from 24.88x to 24.53x. This suggests a minor adjustment in valuation multiples.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.