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BKD: Future Occupancy Momentum And CEO Transition Will Shape Performance

Update shared on 08 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 6.17%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
72.9%
7D
8.1%

Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Brookdale Senior Living from $8.30 to $8.81. This change reflects updated projections in financial metrics and valuation assumptions.

What's in the News

  • Brookdale Senior Living reported that September 2025 consolidated weighted average occupancy increased to 82.5 percent, up 330 basis points year-over-year and 70 basis points sequentially (Announcement of Operating Results).
  • Month-end consolidated occupancy in September reached 83.8 percent, climbing 60 basis points sequentially. Same community occupancy rose to 84.0 percent, up 30 basis points sequentially (Announcement of Operating Results).
  • Third quarter weighted average consolidated occupancy grew to 81.8 percent, a 290 basis point year-over-year increase and a 170 basis point sequential increase. This marks the strongest sequential growth since 2022 (Announcement of Operating Results).
  • On October 2, 2025, Nikolas W. Stengle was appointed Chief Executive Officer, effective October 6, 2025. Interim CEO Denise W. Warren will resume her role as Non-Executive Chairman of the Board (Executive Changes, CEO).
  • August 2025 saw consolidated weighted average occupancy rise to 81.8 percent, up 290 basis points year-over-year and 70 basis points sequentially (Announcement of Operating Results).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has increased slightly from $8.30 to $8.81.
  • Discount Rate decreased modestly from 9.64 percent to 9.40 percent.
  • Revenue Growth expectations fell significantly from 2.34 percent to 1.03 percent.
  • Net Profit Margin slipped marginally from 5.39 percent to 5.31 percent.
  • Future P/E ratio rose from 18.0x to 19.9x. This suggests higher valuation expectations relative to earnings.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.