Update shared on11 Oct 2025
Fair value Decreased 22%OrthoPediatrics’ consensus analyst price target has dropped sharply from approximately $33.86 to $26.29 per share. Analysts cite weaker-than-expected revenues due to challenges in select markets and product categories, although the company continues to demonstrate strength in core business fundamentals.
Analyst Commentary
Recent street research highlights a mix of optimism and caution surrounding OrthoPediatrics’ outlook and valuation. While analysts acknowledge ongoing strengths in the company’s core business, many are moderating their price targets in response to near-term revenue challenges and market headwinds.
Bullish Takeaways- Analysts with a positive stance point to the continued resilience and strong performance in the company’s core, high-margin business areas, which are seen as an anchor for long-term growth.
- The company’s fundamentals, including steady U.S. demand and reiteration of profit drivers, are viewed as stable and supportive of current valuation levels.
- Recent revenue softness is attributed to weaker sales in product categories and geographies generating relatively insignificant margins. This lessens the impact on overall profitability.
- Forward-looking cash flow metrics and management’s conservative outlook are considered supportive of a constructive long-term thesis for the shares.
- Bearish analysts express concern over multiple guidance reductions and preliminary quarterly revenue misses, particularly where top-line expectations were meaningfully guided down.
- The sustainability of valuation expansion is seen as contingent on the company consistently delivering results above expectations. This remains uncertain amid current operational pressures.
- Macroeconomic and regional headwinds, especially in certain international markets, present ongoing execution challenges for near-term growth.
- Disappointing Q3 performance and lowered full-year guidance have highlighted OrthoPediatrics’ sensitivity to market shifts and non-core revenue risks.
What's in the News
- Announced lower full-year 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $233.5 million to $234.5 million, down from the prior range of $237.0 million to $242.0 million. The company still projects year-over-year growth of 14% to 15% (Key Developments).
- Reported preliminary third quarter 2025 net revenue of approximately $60.7 million, excluding 7D capital sales. This represents a 17% increase over the same period last year. Domestic third quarter revenue reached $48.2 million, a 19% increase (Key Developments).
- Completed the first U.S. surgeries using the new VerteGlide Spinal Growth Guidance System for Early Onset Scoliosis. This system will be featured at major upcoming medical conferences (Key Developments).
- Announced a new distribution partnership with MY01 to bring advanced limb perfusion monitoring technology to pediatric patients at risk of acute compartment syndrome (Key Developments).
- Expanded the OrthoPediatrics Specialty Bracing division with new clinics in California, Ohio, Colorado, New York, and Ireland. This marks new geographic territory and international presence (Key Developments).
Valuation Changes
- Consensus Analyst Price Target has fallen significantly from $33.86 to $26.29 per share, reflecting lowered expectations for near-term performance.
- Discount Rate edged down slightly from 7.92% to 7.89%.
- Revenue Growth projections moderated, dropping from 16.96% to 13.41%.
- Net Profit Margin decreased slightly from 12.49% to 12.32%.
- Future P/E ratio is now lower, moving from 26.05x to 22.46x. This suggests reduced valuation multiples for OrthoPediatrics’ expected earnings.
Disclaimer
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