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KNOP: Takeover Proposal And Margin Pressures Will Shape Outlook

Update shared on 18 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 3.56%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
58.5%
7D
0.9%

Analysts have modestly raised their price target for KNOT Offshore Partners to $10.67 from $10.30. They cite recent takeover developments, as well as downward revisions in projected profit margins and future earnings multiples, as key factors in their updated assessment.

Analyst Commentary

Analysts have shared a range of perspectives following the recent changes involving KNOT Offshore Partners, particularly after the takeover proposal. Their commentary highlights both growth opportunities and ongoing concerns that affect valuation and future prospects.

Bullish Takeaways

  • Bullish analysts view the takeover proposal as providing potential for an immediate valuation uplift. This could narrow the gap between the current share price and long-term value.
  • They note that the company's asset base and cash flow profile remain strong, which supports a stable foundation for future operational performance.
  • Some believe that the revised price target still leaves room for upside if margin management improves or if strategic alternatives enhance shareholder returns.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Bearish analysts point to the recent downward revision in the price target as a reflection of ongoing concerns about weaker profit margins and subdued earnings growth.
  • There is caution about the sustainability of elevated distribution levels, given recent financial pressures and market uncertainties.
  • Some express concerns that the takeover offer could cap near-term upside. This could limit further re-rating unless a higher bid materializes or operating performance exceeds expectations.

What's in the News

  • Knutsen NYK Offshore Tankers AS has made an unsolicited non-binding proposal to acquire a further 70.80% stake in KNOT Offshore Partners LP for approximately $240 million, offering $10 per share in cash.
  • If the transaction is completed, Knutsen NYK Offshore Tankers AS and its affiliates would own 100% of KNOT Offshore Partners LP. (Key Developments)
  • The proposal is subject to approval by the target company's shareholders. (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from $10.30 to $10.67, reflecting recent market developments.
  • Discount Rate has fallen markedly from 12.3% to 10.7%, indicating a lower perceived risk in the company's cash flows.
  • Revenue Growth projections have remained nearly unchanged, increasing marginally from 2.18% to 2.18%.
  • Net Profit Margin has fallen from 17.5% to 15.2%, signaling expectations for reduced profitability.
  • Future P/E has increased from 8.0x to 9.1x, suggesting that the market is now attributing a higher multiple to future earnings.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.