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HLX: Share Repurchase And 2025 Guidance Will Drive Bullish Upside

Update shared on 15 Dec 2025

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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-28.4%
7D
-11.1%

Analysts made no change to their price target for Helix Energy Solutions Group, maintaining it at 9.75 dollars. Slight adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future valuation multiples were viewed as too minor to alter their overall outlook.

What's in the News

  • Updated full year 2025 earnings guidance, with revenues now forecast between 1.23 billion dollars and 1.29 billion dollars. This reflects year to date performance and expected winter season variability (company guidance).
  • Tightened outlook on key financial metrics, signaling increased confidence in the visibility of near term results despite seasonal uncertainty (company guidance).
  • Completed a share repurchase of 9,094,398 shares, representing 5.99% of outstanding shares, for a total of 71.49 million dollars under the buyback program announced on February 21, 2023 (buyback update).
  • No additional shares were repurchased between July 1, 2025 and October 23, 2025, leaving the latest tranche period with zero incremental buybacks (buyback update).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate remains unchanged at 9.75 dollars per share, indicating no revision to the analyst intrinsic value assessment.
  • The Discount Rate has fallen slightly from 8.13% to 8.07%, reflecting a marginally lower assumed risk profile or cost of capital.
  • Revenue Growth is effectively unchanged at approximately 3.06% per year, signaling a stable outlook for top line expansion.
  • Net Profit Margin is effectively unchanged at approximately 7.74%, suggesting no material shift in expected profitability levels.
  • Future P/E has decreased slightly from about 15.07x to 15.05x, indicating a marginally lower valuation multiple applied to forward earnings.

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Disclaimer

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