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DK: Share Repurchases And Tighter Margins Will Shape A Balanced Outlook

Update shared on 03 Dec 2025

Fair value Increased 1.91%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
92.7%
7D
-10.2%

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Delek US Holdings to approximately $41.93 from about $41.14, citing slightly improved revenue growth expectations despite some pressure on profit margins and a higher anticipated future P/E multiple.

What's in the News

  • Completed a long-running share repurchase program announced in November 2018, retiring a total of 20,745,590 shares (about 29.73% of shares outstanding) for approximately $586.1 million (company filing).
  • The most recent buyback tranche, from July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, saw the company repurchase 559,933 shares (0.93% of shares outstanding) for about $14.95 million (company filing).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate has risen slightly to approximately $41.93 from about $41.14 per share, reflecting a modestly higher intrinsic value assessment.
  • Discount Rate has edged up marginally from roughly 8.42% to about 8.44%, implying a slightly higher required return on equity.
  • Revenue Growth outlook has improved modestly, with the long term contraction estimate easing from around -1.41% to about -1.40% per year.
  • Net Profit Margin assumption has fallen significantly from roughly 2.08% to about 1.37%, indicating a more conservative view on future profitability.
  • Future P/E has increased materially from about 13.1x to roughly 20.3x, suggesting a higher expected valuation multiple on forward earnings.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.