Update shared on26 Oct 2025
Fair value Increased 3.73%Analysts have raised their price target for CVR Energy by $1.00 to $27.83, citing improved outlooks on sector tailwinds, potential dividend reinstatement, and better than expected near-term indicators.
Analyst Commentary
Recent research updates have presented a mix of positive and cautious perspectives on CVR Energy’s outlook, valuation, and operational execution.
Bullish Takeaways- Bullish analysts have increased their price targets for CVR Energy, reflecting improved sentiment driven by sector-wide tailwinds and favorable near-term indicators.
- There is optimism regarding a potential dividend reinstatement by the end of the year, which is seen as a sign of strengthening financial health and shareholder returns.
- Analysts note that global supply outages are supporting stronger industry margins. This positions CVR Energy to benefit from improved cracking spreads ahead of upcoming results.
- The outlook for deleveraging remains positive. Incremental improvements in the company's balance sheet are supporting a higher valuation.
- Bearish analysts highlight that, despite rising price targets, some earnings forecasts remain below sector expectations. Certain estimates are described as "disappointing" relative to prior industry margin signals.
- Concerns persist regarding the company's execution, particularly in terms of delivering on margin improvements amid volatile sector conditions.
- There is continued caution around the timing and certainty of a dividend reinstatement. Some analysts are monitoring the company’s progress toward its balance sheet goals before upgrading their outlook.
What's in the News
- CVR Energy announced a leadership transition following Mr. Dave Lamp’s notice of retirement as CEO, effective December 31, 2025. Mark A. Pytosh is set to become CEO while continuing his roles at CVR Partners. Mr. Lamp will remain on the Boards of both companies. (Company announcement)
- The company reported its second quarter 2025 operating results, noting total throughput of 172,149 bpd and total production of 169,098 bpd, both down from the prior year. (Operating results release)
- CVR Energy issued third quarter 2025 production guidance, targeting petroleum throughput of 200,000 to 215,000 bpd, renewables throughput of 16 to 20 million gallons, and ammonia utilization rates of 93% to 98%. (Company guidance)
Valuation Changes
- Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly, increasing by $1.00 from $26.83 to $27.83.
- Discount Rate has decreased modestly, declining from 7.53% to 7.41%.
- Revenue Growth projection has improved, rising from 2.39% to 2.54%.
- Net Profit Margin estimate has edged down marginally, moving from 1.44% to 1.41%.
- Future P/E Ratio is projected to rise, increasing from 29.97x to 30.98x.
Disclaimer
AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.