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PAA: Completed Buyback And Lower Risk Profile Will Support Upside

Update shared on 03 Dec 2025

Fair value Increased 0.58%
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Analysts modestly raised their price target on Plains All American Pipeline by approximately $0.12 per share, citing a slightly lower perceived risk profile, improved long term profit margin assumptions, and a marginally better revenue trajectory that together support a still reasonable future earnings multiple.

What's in the News

  • Completed share repurchase program announced November 2, 2020, with a total of 32,012,387 shares bought back for $310.6 million, representing approximately 4.47% of shares outstanding (company filing).
  • No additional shares were repurchased between July 1, 2025 and September 30, 2025 under the existing authorization, indicating the program has effectively run its course in the current tranche (company filing).
  • Finalization of the buyback may modestly enhance per share metrics over time by reducing the share count, and it may also signal management’s prior confidence in the company’s valuation (company filing).

Valuation Changes

  • The fair value estimate has risen slightly, moving from approximately $20.35 to $20.47 per unit, reflecting a modestly more optimistic intrinsic valuation.
  • The discount rate has fallen slightly, from about 7.49 percent to 7.46 percent, signaling a marginal reduction in the perceived riskiness of future cash flows.
  • Revenue growth assumptions have become slightly less negative, improving from roughly negative 1.00 percent to negative 0.90 percent, indicating a somewhat better outlook for top line trends.
  • Net profit margin expectations have risen modestly, from about 3.33 percent to 3.42 percent, implying a small anticipated improvement in operating efficiency or pricing power.
  • The future P/E multiple has fallen slightly, from around 11.86 times to 11.54 times, suggesting a marginally more conservative stance on how the market may value future earnings.

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Disclaimer

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