Update shared on 12 Dec 2025
Fair value Decreased 36%Analysts have reduced their price target on Dingdong (Cayman) by roughly one third to approximately 1.61 dollars, citing a combination of slightly slower expected revenue growth, a higher discount rate, and a lower future earnings multiple, partially offset by improved profit margin assumptions.
Valuation Changes
- The fair value estimate has declined from approximately 2.51 dollars to 1.61 dollars per share.
- The discount rate has risen slightly from about 8.58 percent to 8.73 percent, reflecting a modest increase in perceived risk or required return.
- The revenue growth assumption has edged down from roughly 6.55 percent to 6.35 percent, indicating slightly more conservative top line expectations.
- The net profit margin assumption has increased moderately from around 1.75 percent to 1.92 percent, implying improved profitability expectations.
- The future P/E multiple has fallen significantly from about 9.77 times to 5.87 times, suggesting a more cautious view on the valuation investors are likely to assign to future earnings.
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