Update shared on 21 Dec 2025
Analysts have modestly increased their price target on Republic Services to approximately $247 per share, reflecting slightly higher long term margin expectations and a stable growth and valuation outlook.
What's in the News
- Republic Services lowered its 2025 outlook, guiding revenue to come in near the low end of its previously announced full year range (company guidance).
- The company reported completing a major share repurchase tranche, buying back over 5 million shares, or about 1.62% of shares outstanding, for roughly $1.07 billion under its October 2023 authorization (company filing).
- A nationwide Teamsters strike at Republic Services ended with a ratified, record setting contract that delivers wage increases of up to 46%, stronger labor protections, and expanded health and welfare benefits for more than 2,000 sanitation workers across multiple states (union announcement).
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value Estimate: unchanged at approximately $247 per share, indicating no material shift in the intrinsic value assessment.
- Discount Rate: unchanged at about 7.26%, indicating no change in the required return used to discount future cash flows.
- Revenue Growth: unchanged at roughly 5.09%, indicating a consistent long term growth outlook.
- Net Profit Margin: unchanged at about 14.10%, indicating a steady view on expected long term profitability.
- Future P/E: effectively unchanged at about 33.99x, suggesting a stable valuation multiple on forward earnings.
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