Update shared on 09 Dec 2025
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on ExlService Holdings to 52.29 dollars from 52.29 dollars. This reflects slightly lower discount rate assumptions and a largely unchanged outlook for revenue growth, profit margins, and future valuation multiples.
What's in the News
- ExlService and Shift Technology will co build a national data analytics platform to combat insurance fraud in Australia, enabling secure sharing of fraud patterns and real time alerts for motor claims investigators (Strategic Alliances)
- The company completed a major buyback tranche, repurchasing 9,801,936 shares, or about 6.01% of outstanding shares, for a total of 385.39 million dollars under its February 2024 authorization (Buyback Tranche Update)
- Management raised full year 2025 revenue guidance to 2.07 billion to 2.08 billion dollars, implying roughly 13% growth versus 2024 on both reported and constant currency bases (Corporate Guidance, Raised)
- EXL launched EXLdata.ai, an agentic AI data suite built with Databricks to make enterprise data AI ready, unifying modernization, governance, and unstructured data management across the data lifecycle (Product Related Announcements)
- New and renewed client partnerships, including Schneider National, Whitbread, and InsureMO, highlight growing demand for EXL's AI driven workflow optimization and insurance modernization capabilities (Client Announcements)
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value Estimate is unchanged at 52.29 dollars per share, indicating a stable intrinsic valuation outlook.
- The Discount Rate has fallen slightly from about 7.28 percent to about 7.25 percent, reflecting a modestly lower perceived risk profile.
- Revenue Growth is effectively unchanged at about 11.15 percent, signaling a steady medium term top line growth expectation.
- The Net Profit Margin is stable at about 11.95 percent, implying no material revision to long term profitability assumptions.
- The Future P/E has edged down slightly from about 28.72 times to about 28.70 times, suggesting minimal change in expected market valuation multiples.
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