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Update shared on10 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 1.08%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$71.59
22.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
10 Oct
US$55.75
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1Y
16.5%
7D
-6.5%

The analyst price target for Webster Financial has increased modestly by $0.77 to $71.59. Analysts cite improving asset quality, resilient profitability metrics, and a constructive macro backdrop as factors supporting the outlook for the bank.

Analyst Commentary

Recent Street research on Webster Financial reflects a generally constructive stance on the bank's outlook, with a focus on strengthening fundamentals and growth prospects. Analysts highlight both supportive factors and areas to watch as the company moves forward.

Bullish Takeaways

  • Analysts see enhanced asset quality and stabilization of credit outlook as key positives supporting valuation and investor confidence.
  • Solid loan growth and broad-based expansion in lending and funding businesses are expected to drive higher net interest income over the medium term.
  • Persistent profitability metrics and growth, supported by capital allocation strategies such as share repurchases, remain attractive to investors.
  • Deregulatory trends are viewed as a tailwind for banking fundamentals, providing tangible support and the potential for upside.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Short-term net interest margin may remain under pressure due to ongoing deposit competition and balance sheet remixing efforts.
  • The pace of loan growth, while expected to improve, started slowly in the first half of the year, making execution a continued focus for monitoring.
  • Sentiment and M&A activity are supportive, but sustained outperformance depends on effective navigation of the changing macro backdrop.

What's in the News

  • Webster Financial completed its most recent share repurchase tranche, buying back 1,520,514 shares for $78.6 million between April 1 and June 30, 2025. This brings total repurchases since November 2017 to 18,042,681 shares for $855.53 million (Key Developments).
  • For the second quarter ended June 30, 2025, the company reported net charge-offs of $36.4 million, a decrease from $55.0 million in the previous quarter and $33.1 million a year ago. The charge-off ratio was 0.2% (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate has risen slightly from $70.82 to $71.59, reflecting a modest increase in the long-term outlook.
  • Discount Rate has decreased marginally from 6.97% to 6.93%, indicating a slightly lower perceived risk profile.
  • Revenue Growth Expectation has fallen modestly, moving from 10.84% to 10.68%.
  • Net Profit Margin forecast has edged down from 34.75% to 34.48%.
  • Future P/E Ratio has increased from 11.13x to 11.37x, suggesting a slightly higher earnings multiple anticipated by the market.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.