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AnalystConsensusTarget updated the narrative for FHN

Update shared on 08 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 1.23%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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First Horizon's analyst price target has increased slightly to $25.07 from $24.77, as analysts cite improving profitability prospects, resilient revenue growth, and cost efficiencies reflected in recent earnings and industry outlook updates.

Analyst Commentary

Recent analyst research on First Horizon reflects a balanced view, with several optimistic highlights countered by some valuation-related caution. Perspectives are shaped by the company’s operating performance and evolving industry conditions.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Price targets have been raised, reflecting improved fundamentals and a stronger near-term earnings outlook.
  • Recent quarters have shown better-than-expected profitability driven by cost efficiencies and lower provisions.
  • Loan growth commentary has become more positive, signaling underlying demand and management's focus on organic expansion.
  • Updates to earnings forecasts point to higher future growth, supported by increased loan balances and expense management.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Some analysts remain cautious about valuation, with the stock trading at a premium compared to regional banking peers.
  • Neutral ratings indicate concerns about upside potential at current price levels.
  • Execution risk remains, especially as the company transitions focus to deepening client relationships after recent major corporate events.
  • Broader industry factors, such as market consolidation and ongoing regulatory shifts, may limit immediate multiples expansion.

What's in the News

  • First Horizon announced plans to consolidate two Charlotte offices into a new, modern location in the city's South End. The company will occupy the top three floors of a 24-story building featuring enhanced amenities and workspace for 250 employees. (Key Developments)
  • Between April and June 2025, the company repurchased 512,000 shares for $9.24 million. This completed a total buyback of 24,436,000 shares, or 4.65 percent, for $498.11 million under its current program. (Key Developments)
  • Net charge-offs for the second quarter of 2025 rose by $5 million to $34 million. (Key Developments)
  • First Horizon reaffirmed its 2025 full-year earnings guidance by maintaining its targets for revenue growth and reporting performance at the upper end of expectations to date. (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate has risen slightly to $25.07 from $24.77. This reflects a modest improvement in projected fundamentals.
  • Discount Rate has fallen modestly to 6.88% from 6.94%, which signals a marginally lower perceived risk profile.
  • Revenue Growth Forecast has increased very slightly to 6.61% from 6.59%. This suggests expectations of modest ongoing expansion.
  • Net Profit Margin estimate has improved to 26.70% from 26.16%, indicating higher anticipated profitability.
  • Future P/E Ratio has decreased fractionally to 13.68x from 13.83x, which implies slightly more attractive valuation multiples based on forward earnings.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.