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AnalystConsensusTarget updated the narrative for CFG

Update shared on 03 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 3.81%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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7D
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The analyst price target for Citizens Financial Group has been raised from $56.45 to $58.60. This reflects analysts' expectations for improved profitability and favorable sector catalysts in the near term.

Analyst Commentary

Recent research from the Street shows strong enthusiasm for Citizens Financial Group's prospects, with several firms highlighting the company's profitability potential and sector positioning. Analysts have upgraded ratings and raised price targets, citing both operational improvements and favorable industry trends.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Several bullish analysts have raised price targets, citing Citizens Financial as one of the best profitability improvement stories in the sector and projecting meaningful gains in return on tangible common equity over the next few years.
  • There is consensus that the bank is trading at a discount to peers. This suggests opportunities for valuation multiple expansion as its performance metrics improve.
  • Strong quarterly results, characterized by robust revenue and loan growth, along with positive credit trends, have increased analyst confidence in management's ability to execute on earnings and efficiency targets.
  • A supportive macro backdrop and expectations of deregulation are viewed as catalysts for further sector upside. Citizens Financial is seen as well positioned to benefit from anticipated growth in loans and assets.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts maintain a more cautious outlook. While recent upgrades reflect optimism, they note the bank's fundamentals remain moderate relative to valuation, which has moved above average for the sector.
  • Some research points to expectations that large bank stocks, including Citizens Financial, could remain range-bound in the near term given market uncertainty and only incremental improvement in fundamentals.
  • Awareness persists around execution risks, such as potential headwinds in achieving targeted return metrics or sustaining above-peer growth in the face of shifting economic or regulatory conditions.

What's in the News

  • Citizens Financial decreased its prime lending rate to 7.25 percent from 7.50 percent. This change is effective September 18, 2025 (Periodical).
  • The company announced the upcoming redemption of all outstanding shares of its 5.650 percent Series F Preferred Stock on October 6, 2025. No further dividends will accrue after that date.
  • Aunoy Banerjee has been appointed as Citizens Financial Group's new Chief Financial Officer, succeeding John Woods. Chris Emerson will serve as interim CFO until Banerjee joins in October 2025.
  • Citizens Financial completed a share repurchase of 5.13 million shares for $200 million in the second quarter of 2025, bringing the total repurchased under the current program to over 76 million shares.
  • Reported net charge-offs for Q2 2025 totaled $167 million, or 48 basis points of average loans and leases. This shows improvement from the previous quarter.

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen from $56.45 to $58.60. This reflects a moderate increase in expected fair value.
  • Discount Rate has fallen slightly to 7.07 percent from 7.11 percent. This indicates a marginal reduction in perceived risk or required return.
  • Revenue Growth forecast has decreased marginally to 12.48 percent from 12.60 percent.
  • Net Profit Margin has improved slightly to 27.45 percent from 27.34 percent. This points to expectations of higher profitability.
  • Future P/E ratio has increased from 9.96x to 10.32x. This suggests the stock is now valued at a higher multiple of anticipated earnings.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.