Update shared on27 Aug 2025
Fair value Increased 2.12%Analysts have increased Ferrari’s price target to $513.86, citing resilience in demand, confidence in margin-focused strategy, and viewing the recent selloff as overdone, despite ongoing valuation concerns.
Analyst Commentary
- Bearish analysts acknowledge strong underlying fundamentals but maintain caution due to valuation concerns.
- Bullish analysts view the recent selloff as excessive and anticipate a prompt recovery based on historical price action after similar drawdowns.
- The decision by Ferrari not to raise its 2025 guidance is not seen as a negative catalyst by bullish analysts.
- Analysts are unperturbed by management comments regarding softening U.S. residual values, maintaining confidence in overall demand.
- The company’s strategy of reducing deliveries to favor higher revenue quality is considered a positive for long-term margins.
What's in the News
- Ferrari confirmed 2025 earnings guidance, expecting net revenues above EUR 7.0 billion.
- Guidance is supported by strong product and country mix, increased personalizations, and improved racing activities revenue.
- Lifestyle activities are forecasted to accelerate revenue growth, with investments to expand the network.
- Brand, racing, and digital transformation spending will increase, while supply chain challenges drive higher costs.
- A higher effective tax rate is anticipated due to changes in the Patent Box regime, with strong free cash flow partly offset by moderated capital expenditures.
Valuation Changes
Summary of Valuation Changes for Ferrari
- The Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from $503.21 to $513.86.
- The Future P/E for Ferrari has risen slightly from 66.54x to 68.28x.
- The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for Ferrari remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from 8.1% per annum to 8.0% per annum.
Disclaimer
AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.