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Update shared on29 Aug 2025

Fair value Decreased 11%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$2.67
29.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
29 Aug
US$1.88
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1Y
-85.2%
7D
13.3%

Despite an improved net profit margin and a lower future P/E ratio reflecting enhanced profitability and valuation, Luminar Technologies’ consensus analyst price target has been revised downward from $3.00 to $2.67.


What's in the News


  • Luminar expects Q3 2025 revenue between $17 million and $19 million.
  • FY 2025 revenue guidance was lowered to $67 million to $74 million from a prior $82 million to $90 million, citing lower shipments and reduced revenue from winding down non-core data contracts.
  • The company filed a follow-on equity offering of 1.6 million shares at $3.32 per share, targeting $5.312 million in proceeds.
  • KPMG LLP was ratified as independent auditor for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.
  • Luminar was added to multiple Russell indices, including Microcap, Microcap Growth, Microcap Value, 3000E, 3000E Growth, and 3000E Value indices.

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for Luminar Technologies

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target has significantly fallen from $3.00 to $2.67.
  • The Future P/E for Luminar Technologies has significantly fallen from 26.62x to 21.74x.
  • The Net Profit Margin for Luminar Technologies has significantly risen from 4.25% to 4.78%.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.