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Update shared on18 Oct 2025

Fair value Decreased 0.78%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
SEK 101.80
16.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
18 Oct
SEK 84.90
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1Y
-23.2%
7D
3.0%

Narrative Update on Billerud

Analysts have reduced their price target for Billerud from SEK 84 to SEK 80. This adjustment reflects more subdued revenue growth assumptions and a modest decrease in fair value estimates.

Analyst Commentary

Bullish Takeaways

  • Bullish analysts note that Billerud’s underlying business fundamentals remain stable, supporting the current valuation despite recent target adjustments.
  • They point out that the company’s steady operational execution provides a degree of resilience, even amid modest revenue growth projections.
  • Recent pricing updates are seen as a reflection of cautious optimism around future market positioning and long-term growth prospects.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Bearish analysts remain cautious regarding the near-term revenue outlook, which has led to a downward revision in price targets.
  • Concerns persist about the pace of growth, with tempered expectations for both demand recovery and market expansion.
  • Some view the Neutral rating as indicative of ongoing uncertainty around execution and the company’s ability to exceed current market forecasts.

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value: Decreased marginally from SEK 102.6 to SEK 101.8.
  • Discount Rate: Slightly reduced from 5.34% to 5.34%.
  • Revenue Growth: Lowered from 0.38% to 0.35%.
  • Profit Margin: Increased slightly from 4.50% to 4.50%.
  • Future P/E: Declined modestly from 14.95x to 14.83x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.