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Update shared on07 Aug 2025

WaneInvestmentHouse's Fair Value
₦10.31
8.1% overvalued intrinsic discount
07 Aug
₦11.15
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1Y
45.8%
7D
-3.0%

FCMB Group Plc has emerged as one of the most dynamic financial institutions in Nigeria’s mid-tier banking space, delivering robust revenue growth, expanding margins, and digital-led transformation. In H1 2025, the Group reported strong top-line momentum (+41.3% YoY), efficient balance sheet management, and resilient profitability despite macroeconomic headwinds. With a diversified business mix, ongoing capital raise to meet regulatory requirements, and rapid growth in digital income, FCMB is well-positioned for sustainable long-term value creation.

Financial Highlights: H1 2025

Metric H1 2025 YoY Growth

Gross Revenue ₦529.2B +41.3%

Net Interest Income ₦207.4B +95.3%

Profit Before Tax (PBT) ₦79.3B +23.0%

Profit After Tax (PAT) ₦73.4B +23.0%

Operating Expenses ₦153.2B +46.1%

Digital Revenue ₦73.6B +60.0%

Net Interest Margin (NIM) 9.1% ↑ from 6.3%

Total Assets ₦7.54T +6.9% (YTD)

Customer Deposits ₦4.55T +5.6% (YTD)

Loans & Advances ₦2.38T +1.1% (YTD)

Assets Under Management ₦1.58T +15.5%

Shares Outstanding (Proj.) 42.8B ↑ via capital raise

Key Strengths

Strong Core Banking Performance

FCMB’s PBT of ₦79.3B was driven largely by a 95.3% growth in net interest income, showing significant improvement in asset yields and NIM (9.1%). This was achieved through a favorable shift in deposit mix (low-cost deposits now 69.3%) and stronger asset pricing.

Rapid Digital Transformation

Digital income surged 60% YoY, contributing 13.9% of total earnings. Growth in payments, lending, and wealth-tech platforms indicate sustainable non-interest income diversification.

Improving Cost Discipline

Despite inflationary pressures, cost-to-income ratio improved to 57% (vs. 59.9% in FY 2024). Operational leverage and balance sheet efficiency contributed to this improvement.

Diversified Business Segments

  • Banking Group: 82% of PBT, +41.3% YoY
  • Consumer Finance: 11.6% of PBT, +54.5% YoY
  • Investment Management: 4.8% of PBT, +10% YoY
  • Investment Banking: 1.4% of PBT (declined due to 2024 one-time gain)

Key Weaknesses & Risks

Decline in Non-Interest Income

Non-interest income dropped 35.1% YoY, mainly due to a sharp ₦36.6B fall in currency revaluation gains. While recurring revenue streams are improving, this reveals FCMB’s prior reliance on FX windfalls.

Rising Impairments

Net impairment losses grew to ₦36.2B following the exit from the CBN’s forbearance programme, pushing cost of risk to 2.8% (from 1.8%). Loan quality pressures could persist.

Capital Dilution Risk

The issuance of N22.5B in mandatory convertible notes and ongoing capital raise may result in shareholder dilution. However, this is essential to meet the new CBN minimum capital requirement for international banks.

Disclaimer

The user WaneInvestmentHouse holds no position in NGSE:FCMB. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.