Update shared on 27 Oct 2025
Fair value Increased 4.59%International Consolidated Airlines Group's analyst price target has been raised significantly from £3.90 to £6.20. Analysts cite improved fair value, profit outlook, and the company’s strong position at London Heathrow as drivers of their more optimistic forecast.
Analyst Commentary
Following recent updates, analysts have offered a range of perspectives regarding International Consolidated Airlines Group's outlook. Their insights encompass both the positive drivers supporting the stock's valuation and ongoing risks that may affect future performance.
Bullish Takeaways- Bullish analysts have raised their price targets for IAG, reflecting improved forecasts for earnings and fair value as the company sustains its leading position at London Heathrow.
- Initiating coverage with positive ratings, some analysts point to IAG's dominance in a key European travel market as a catalyst for ongoing growth and competitive advantage.
- Upward price target revisions are supported by expectations of continued profit momentum and successful execution of the group's strategic plans.
- Analysts consider IAG a top pick among European airlines, citing strong operational performance and robust market share as key factors behind their optimistic stance.
- Bearish analysts highlight potential downside risks, including concerns about a possible slowdown in profit growth as competitive pressures intensify.
- There are cautious views that recent valuation optimism may be overextended, particularly if the company faces execution challenges or macroeconomic headwinds.
- Some analysts have downgraded their outlook, noting the potential for limited upside if market conditions deteriorate or capacity constraints impact future earnings.
What's in the News
- Citi has raised its price target for IAG to 620 GBp from 390 GBp and maintains a Buy rating on the shares (Citi).
- Morgan Stanley initiated coverage with an Overweight rating and a EUR 5.50 price target. The firm named IAG its top pick among European airlines citing market dominance at London Heathrow (Morgan Stanley).
- The company has completed the repurchase of 161,126,761 shares, which represents 3.32% of its share capital for €572 million as part of a recent buyback program (Key Developments).
- Several major financial institutions, including Crédit Agricole, Deutsche Bank, BofA Securities, BBVA, Société Générale, and Banco Santander, have been added as Co-Lead Underwriters for IAG's fixed-income offering (Key Developments).
Valuation Changes
- The Fair Value Estimate has increased slightly from £4.41 to £4.61, reflecting a more optimistic assessment of the company's intrinsic value.
- The Discount Rate has edged up narrowly from 10.25% to 10.31%, indicating a marginally higher required return by investors.
- The Revenue Growth Projection has risen modestly from 2.99% to 3.03%, suggesting improved expectations for future top-line expansion.
- The Net Profit Margin Estimate has increased marginally from 9.66% to 9.71%, pointing to a slightly more favorable profitability outlook.
- The Future P/E Ratio has moved up from 7.76x to 8.03x, reflecting revised expectations for the company's future earnings multiple.
Disclaimer
AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
