Update shared on09 Sep 2025
Fair value Decreased 20%A sharply lower consensus price target for Kazatomprom reflects a dramatic decline in its future P/E ratio, indicating materially reduced earnings expectations and overall fair value, now revised to $42.31.
What's in the News
- Kazatomprom reported H1 2025 U3O8 production of 12,242 tU (100% basis), up from 10,857 tU YoY; attributable production reached 6,431 tU, up from 5,777 tU YoY.
- Full-year 2025 guidance reaffirmed: production (100% basis) at 25,000–26,500 tU, attributable production at 13,000–14,000 tU, group sales at 17,500–18,500 tU, revenue at KZT 1,600–1,700 billion.
- Signed first MoU with Slovakia's SEAS for long-term uranium supply and cooperation, strengthening presence in European nuclear energy sector.
- Inaugurated South Tortkuduk uranium processing plant via KATCO JV, representing $190 million investment with expected annual output of 4,000 tU and extended mine life; site emphasizes reduced environmental impact and improved operational efficiency.
Valuation Changes
Summary of Valuation Changes for National Atomic Company Kazatomprom JSC
- The Consensus Analyst Price Target has significantly fallen from $52.85 to $42.31.
- The Future P/E for National Atomic Company Kazatomprom JSC has significantly fallen from 11.62x to 0.02x.
- The Discount Rate for National Atomic Company Kazatomprom JSC remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from 8.00% to 8.06%.
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