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KAP: Higher Revenue Guidance Will Drive Improved Profitability Outlook

Analysts Lower Kazatomprom Price Target as Production Rises and Profit Margins Improve

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KAP
AnalystConsensusTarget
Not Invested
Published 03 Aug 2025

Update shared on 19 Dec 2025

Fair value Increased 11%
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1Y
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-12.0%

Analysts have raised their price target for National Atomic Company Kazatomprom JSC by approximately 11 percent to the equivalent of about 62, reflecting expectations of slightly improved profitability despite a marginally lower long term revenue growth outlook and a higher anticipated future price to earnings multiple.

What's in the News

  • Kazatomprom raised its consolidated revenue guidance for 2025 to KZT 1,750 billion to KZT 1,850 billion, up from a prior range of KZT 1,600 billion to KZT 1,700 billion (company guidance)
  • The company confirmed its 2025 production guidance, keeping expected total production at 25,000 tU to 26,500 tU on a 100 percent basis and 13,000 tU to 14,000 tU on an attributable basis, with group sales volume unchanged at 17,500 tU to 18,500 tU (company guidance)
  • Kazatomprom scheduled a special or extraordinary shareholders meeting for December 19, 2025 in Astana to consider approval of a new edition of its Corporate Governance Code (company announcement)

Valuation Changes

  • The Fair Value Estimate has risen moderately, from approximately 56.39 to 62.37, reflecting a higher intrinsic value assessment for the shares.
  • The Discount Rate is effectively unchanged, edging down marginally from 8.25 percent to 8.25 percent when rounded.
  • The Revenue Growth Forecast has eased slightly, moving from about 11.92 percent to 11.88 percent per year in the long term.
  • The Net Profit Margin Expectation has increased marginally, from roughly 32.49 percent to 32.52 percent, implying a small improvement in anticipated profitability.
  • The Future P/E Multiple assumption has risen meaningfully, from about 11.0x to 12.4x, indicating a higher expected valuation for future earnings.

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