Update shared on 06 Nov 2025
Fair value Decreased 3.97%Analysts have lowered their price target for Energean from $10.26 to $9.85. This change reflects updated forecasts for profit margins and valuation metrics.
What's in the News
- Energean reported a 35% increase in quarterly production. Average Group output rose to 176 kboed in the third quarter of 2025, compared to 131 kboed in the previous quarter (Energean Operating Results Announcement).
- Total Group production for the third quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2025, was 151 kboed, slightly below the 156 kboed reported a year earlier (Energean Operating Results Announcement).
- The company issued new production guidance for 2025, lowering Group expectations to 145-155 kboed from 155-165 kboed. The revision was largely due to temporary suspension of operations in Israel and deferred commissioning of a key project (Energean Corporate Guidance).
- Standalone guidance for Israel is now set at 105-115 kboed. Production expectations for the rest of the portfolio remain unchanged at about 40 kboed (Energean Corporate Guidance).
- For the first half of 2025, Energean’s total production was 138 kboed, down from 146 kboed the previous year, with August 2025 production reaching 178 kboed (Energean Operating Results Announcement).
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value Estimate has decreased from $10.26 to $9.85, reflecting updated profit expectations.
- Discount Rate has fallen significantly, moving from 10.24% to 8.64%. This suggests changes in risk assessment or cost of capital.
- Revenue Growth projections have remained stable, with only a slight increase from 19.67% to 19.72%.
- Net Profit Margin has declined sharply, dropping from 39.97% to 16.65%. This indicates less anticipated profitability.
- Future P/E Ratio has risen from 2.98x to 8.61x, which points to revised earnings forecasts or valuation perspectives.
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