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Update shared on29 Jul 2025

Fair value Decreased 23%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
UK£14.50
34.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
27 Aug
UK£9.49
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1Y
-5.5%
7D
-3.5%

The significant reduction in analyst price target for Burford Capital is primarily driven by lowered forecasts for both future earnings multiples and revenue growth, resulting in the consensus fair value decreasing from £19.28 to £14.84.


What's in the News


  • Burford Capital added to several Russell growth and small-cap indices, including Russell 2000 Growth, Russell 2500 Growth, Russell 3000 Growth, and related benchmarks.
  • Commenced a new share repurchase program authorized to buy back up to 10% of issued share capital, with flexible use of repurchased shares and expiration at the next AGM or August 13, 2026, whichever is earlier.
  • Previous buyback program expired on May 15, 2025.
  • Repurchased 1,100,000 shares (0.5%) for £15.31 million from January 1 to March 31, 2025, completing total repurchases of 1,119,285 shares (0.51%) for £15.59 million under the prior buyback.

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for Burford Capital

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target has significantly fallen from £19.28 to £14.84.
  • The Future P/E for Burford Capital has significantly fallen from 12.74x to 7.77x.
  • The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for Burford Capital has significantly fallen from 17.3% per annum to 12.4% per annum.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.