Loading...
Back to narrative

AnalystConsensusTarget updated the narrative for CPG

Update shared on 03 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 1.08%
n/a
n/a
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
n/a
Loading
1Y
-7.3%
7D
-3.4%

The analyst price target for Compass Group has increased modestly, rising by £0.30 to £27.72 per share. Analysts cite strengthened revenue growth and improved valuation multiples as supporting factors for their revised outlook.

Analyst Commentary

Recent analyst actions have seen several price target increases for Compass Group, reflecting a mix of supportive and cautious perspectives on the company’s outlook. An evaluation of their commentary reveals both bullish momentum and lingering reservations.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts highlight the company's capacity to generate steady revenue growth, which underpins their willingness to raise price targets.
  • There is continued confidence that Compass Group is executing well on its strategic initiatives, which justifies higher valuation multiples.
  • Improvements in core business performance are seen as a signal for sustained momentum in key operating regions.
  • Some analysts view current market conditions as favorable for future earnings growth, which strengthens the investment thesis.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts maintain a cautious stance and keep their ratings neutral or on hold despite the raised targets.
  • Concerns remain around potential operational headwinds, such as cost inflation and competitive pressures, which could impact margin expansions.
  • Some believe that the recent upward moves in valuation leave limited room for upside unless execution continues to outperform expectations.
  • Sector-wide uncertainties are prompting a more measured approach, with a focus on monitoring future earnings consistency.

What's in the News

  • Compass Group PLC has upgraded earnings guidance for fiscal year 2025, now expecting constant currency underlying operating profit growth to approach 11%. This outlook is supported by organic revenue growth above 8% and ongoing margin improvement (company guidance).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value: Has risen slightly, increasing from £27.42 to £27.72 per share.
  • Discount Rate: Has declined modestly from 8.92% to 8.87%.
  • Revenue Growth: Has edged up, moving from 7.34% to 7.38%.
  • Net Profit Margin: Is largely unchanged, showing a slight decrease from 5.19% to 5.18%.
  • Future P/E: Has increased significantly, rising from 21.37x to 28.99x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.