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Update shared on18 Sep 2025

Fair value Decreased 1.15%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
UK£27.42
8.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
18 Sep
UK£25.08
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1Y
3.6%
7D
-3.9%

Despite improved organic revenue growth, strong contract wins, enhanced margin expansion, and robust cash flow generation supporting a positive outlook for Compass Group, analysts have slightly reduced their consensus price target from £27.74 to £27.42.


Analyst Commentary


  • Bullish analysts cited improved organic revenue growth trends and resilient contract wins across key regions.
  • Forecasts for enhanced margin expansion driven by ongoing cost control and operating leverage were factored in.
  • Positive momentum in new business wins and retention rates contributed to higher price targets.
  • Upward revisions were underpinned by robust cash flow generation and continued capital returns to shareholders.
  • Valuation adjustments were made to reflect Compass Group’s defensive sector positioning and outperformance versus peers.

What's in the News


  • Upgraded FY2025 guidance, now expecting constant currency underlying operating profit growth of ~11%, driven by organic revenue growth above 8% and continued margin improvement.

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for Compass Group

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from £27.74 to £27.42.
  • The Future P/E for Compass Group has significantly fallen from 29.18x to 21.37x.
  • The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for Compass Group remained effectively unchanged, at 7.3% per annum.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.