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Update shared on09 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 2.24%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
UK£12.68
0.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
23 Oct
UK£12.76
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1Y
72.7%
7D
6.6%

Burberry Group's fair value estimate has been raised to £12.68 per share from £12.40. Analysts cite a sector-wide recovery and optimism over sales momentum in China as key factors behind the upward revision.

Analyst Commentary

Recent updates from street research firms reflect growing optimism around Burberry Group, as well as a measured perspective on the road ahead. Analysts have weighed positive sector dynamics and company-specific factors while also noting some ongoing risks.

Bullish Takeaways

  • Bullish analysts highlight that the luxury sector may be entering an early phase of recovery. This could improve overall growth and investor sentiment for Burberry.
  • There is an expectation that stronger sales momentum in China could serve as a critical growth lever and further strengthen Burberry’s valuation outlook.
  • Upward price target revisions suggest confidence in execution and management’s ability to capitalize on favorable regional trends.
  • Analysts assign a Buy rating in anticipation of further upside potential if market conditions in key regions, particularly Asia, continue to improve.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Some analysts remain cautious and emphasize that the recovery in the European luxury sector is still nascent and could face setbacks.
  • Uncertainties persist around the sustainability of demand in China. This may impact Burberry’s medium-term growth if momentum slows.
  • Valuation upgrades are partly contingent on external macroeconomic trends. This exposes the stock to broader market volatility and shifts in consumer sentiment.

What's in the News

  • Burberry Group plc has been added to the FTSE 100 Index (Key Developments)
  • Burberry Group plc has been removed from the FTSE 250 Index (Key Developments)
  • Burberry Group plc has been removed from the FTSE 250 (Ex Investment Companies) Index (GBP) (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • The Fair Value Estimate has risen slightly, moving from £12.40 to £12.68 per share.
  • The Discount Rate has increased marginally from 9.90% to 10.06%.
  • The Revenue Growth projection has declined modestly, from 3.49% to 3.32%.
  • The Net Profit Margin forecast has fallen slightly, dropping from 8.32% to 8.06%.
  • The Future P/E Ratio has increased, rising from 25.95x to 27.64x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.