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AnalystConsensusTarget updated the narrative for BKG

Update shared on 03 Oct 2025

Fair value Decreased 0.27%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-8.4%
7D
-0.3%

Analysts have slightly lowered their average price target for Berkeley Group Holdings, reducing it by £0.12 to £44.17 because of updates in revenue growth and discount rates. They also noted potential resilience in times of economic uncertainty.

Analyst Commentary

Analyst sentiment regarding Berkeley Group Holdings remains divided, with both optimistic and cautious perspectives shaping current investment opinions.

Bullish Takeaways

  • Bullish analysts highlight the company's potential to outperform peers during periods of economic uncertainty. They attribute this resilience to disciplined execution and a strong balance sheet.
  • Recent upward adjustments to price targets reflect increased confidence in Berkeley Group's revenue growth prospects.
  • The upgrade to an Outperform rating by a major institution signals faith in the company's ability to capitalize on current market conditions.
  • Steady demand in the housing sector and Berkeley Group's established market position are viewed as supportive factors for future value creation.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Bearish analysts remain concerned about valuation risks, as slower revenue growth could limit near-term upside.
  • The presence of a Hold rating suggests caution regarding the persistence of economic headwinds that may impact the group's execution.
  • Potential discount rate pressures and inflationary trends may weigh on future profits and investor returns.

What's in the News

  • Berkeley Group Holdings has issued updated earnings guidance, confirming that the company is on track to achieve pre-tax earnings of £450 million for the full year ending 30 April 2026 (company guidance).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has decreased slightly, moving from £44.29 to £44.17.
  • Discount Rate has risen marginally from 8.91% to 8.94%.
  • Revenue Growth projections have fallen, declining further from -0.16% to -0.36%.
  • Net Profit Margin is up modestly, increasing from 14.18% to 14.24%.
  • Future P/E ratio has increased from 14.18x to 14.68x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.