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AnalystConsensusTarget updated the narrative for RR.

Update shared on 21 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 5.02%
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Analysts have raised their price target for Rolls-Royce Holdings from £11.36 to £11.93. They cite strengthening fundamentals and improved industry outlooks as key drivers for this positive revision.

Analyst Commentary

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts have increased their price targets for Rolls-Royce in light of strengthening fundamentals and the recovery in the European aerospace sector, with leading firms raising targets to as high as 1,290 GBp.
  • There is growing confidence that travel demand is outpacing supply, creating favorable conditions for engine manufacturers and aftermarket services.
  • The prospect for significant near-term capital returns is seen as a positive. Rolls-Royce is positioned to capitalize given projected improvements in cash flow and profitability.
  • Ongoing initiatives in productivity and rate increases are viewed as effective in restoring the company's balance sheet and supporting long-term growth aspirations.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Some analysts caution that execution risks remain, particularly as Rolls-Royce continues to ramp up production and manage concurrent development programs.
  • Uncertainties persist in long-term engine program timelines, such as the next-generation single-aisle jet collaboration, which is not expected until after 2035. This limits immediate upside from such initiatives.
  • While capital returns are improving, they are partly dependent on sustained market recovery and operational discipline, which may face external pressures.

What's in the News

  • Boeing is planning a successor to the 737 MAX and has held discussions with Rolls-Royce about a potential new engine for a future narrow-body aircraft (The Wall Street Journal).
  • Rolls-Royce has started discussions with advisors to explore funding options for its small nuclear reactor business, including the possibility of an initial public offering (The Financial Times).
  • The company is reportedly close to reaching a deal to transfer its UK pension pot, which could involve moving nearly £4 billion in liabilities to an insurer to help strengthen its balance sheet.

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target (Fair Value): Increased from £11.36 to £11.93, reflecting an improved outlook.
  • Discount Rate: Increased slightly from 7.84% to 7.94%, suggesting marginally higher expected risk or required return.
  • Revenue Growth: Up modestly from 7.21% to 7.33% per year, indicating slightly stronger top-line expectations.
  • Net Profit Margin: Increased from 12.95% to 13.26%, pointing to improved profitability assumptions.
  • Future P/E Ratio: Increased from 38.7x to 39.8x, which may imply higher growth prospects or valuation premiums.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.