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ELE: Uncertainty Around Network Investment Will Limit Upside Potential

Update shared on 13 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 1.63%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
62.4%
7D
1.5%

Analysts have raised their fair value price target for Endesa to €26.95 from €26.52. This reflects improved revenue growth expectations despite recent sector downgrades and ongoing uncertainty around network investment.

Analyst Commentary

Recent analyst research reveals a mixed outlook for Endesa, with opinions split on the company's growth potential and risks tied to its future strategy.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Some analysts are maintaining high price targets, suggesting confidence in Endesa’s long-term revenue growth prospects despite sector challenges.
  • Positive trends in renewables, particularly improving conditions for onshore wind and solar, are seen as supportive of future earnings and valuation.
  • Continued investment in renewables is expected to strengthen Endesa’s position in the energy transition and support sustainable growth.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Several analysts have downgraded Endesa’s rating, citing increased uncertainty surrounding the company’s ability to accelerate investment in its network infrastructure.
  • The utilities sector, and power generators specifically, are viewed less favorably with limited near-term upside compared to other sub-sectors.
  • Concerns remain about the company’s execution risks, particularly in ramping up capital expenditures and adapting to evolving regulatory environments.
  • Lowered price targets by some bearish analysts reflect caution around Endesa’s path to delivering value amid sector headwinds.

What's in the News

  • Endesa, S.A. confirmed earnings guidance for 2025, indicating it is on track to reach the upper range of its forecast for net income (Key Developments).
  • The company stated it expects to achieve the top end of its Capital Market Day guidance for the full year 2025 (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • The Fair Value Price Target has risen slightly from €26.52 to €26.95, reflecting updated expectations.
  • The Discount Rate has increased modestly from 7.49% to 7.65%, suggesting a marginally higher risk profile.
  • The Revenue Growth forecast has climbed from 3.78% to 5.05%, indicating improved forward-looking projections.
  • The Net Profit Margin estimate has fallen slightly from 8.48% to 8.13%, showing a small decrease in expected profitability.
  • The Future P/E Ratio has edged up from 16.67x to 16.75x, signaling a marginal adjustment in valuation assumptions.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.