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FLS: Upgrades and Downgrades Will Shape Market View Amid Recent Contract Wins

Update shared on 06 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 1.17%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
14.9%
7D
-9.0%

FLSmidth's analyst price target has increased modestly from DKK 474.33 to DKK 479.89. Analysts cite recent upgrades and positive re-ratings that support a slightly improved outlook for the company.

Analyst Commentary

Analyst opinions on FLSmidth have shown a mix of optimism and caution, with recent changes reflecting varied expectations regarding the company’s performance and valuation.

Bullish Takeaways

  • Bullish analysts are increasingly constructive on FLSmidth’s growth outlook, as reflected in recent upgrades to Buy ratings and higher price targets.
  • Some expect stronger execution and improving fundamentals to drive earnings momentum in the near term.
  • The company’s ability to secure and deliver on large contracts is viewed as a potential catalyst for further upside to consensus expectations.
  • Upward price target revisions indicate confidence in the company’s valuation and are supported by ongoing business transformation efforts.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Bearish analysts remain cautious about headwinds to margin expansion, citing operational and market challenges that may limit upside.
  • There is concern about the sustainability of recent outperformance, with more conservative ratings reflecting the risk of execution missteps.
  • Some analysts note that valuation is becoming less attractive following recent share price appreciation, leading to downgrades despite higher price targets.
  • Ongoing sector pressures and global economic uncertainty continue to weigh on sentiment and contribute to a more balanced outlook overall.

What's in the News

  • FLSmidth secures a major order from a leading Indian miner and steelmaker to deliver core mining technologies for one of the world's largest iron ore beneficiation plants. This includes the largest filtered tailings system and high-rate thickeners, underscoring the company’s commitment to sustainability and operational efficiency (Key Developments).
  • The company completed a share buyback program in late June 2025, repurchasing 87,000 shares or 0.15% of its share capital for DKK 34 million (Key Developments).
  • FLSmidth updated its 2025 financial guidance, lowering expected revenue to a range of DKK 14.5 billion to DKK 15.0 billion due to project delays and adverse foreign exchange effects (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from DKK 474.33 to DKK 479.89, reflecting a modestly improved outlook.
  • Discount Rate increased marginally from 6.23% to 6.29%, indicating a small adjustment in perceived risk.
  • Revenue Growth remains negative but has improved, with the decline easing from -6.66% to -6.48%.
  • Net Profit Margin decreased slightly from 10.46% to 10.42%, suggesting marginally tighter profitability expectations.
  • Future P/E multiple has risen from 19.23x to 19.45x. This implies a small uplift in anticipated valuation multiples.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.