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Update shared on04 Oct 2025

Fair value Decreased 1.26%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
€107.09
8.4% overvalued intrinsic discount
04 Oct
€116.10
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1Y
-16.8%
7D
0.9%

Hapag-Lloyd's analyst price target has been adjusted downward, with recent updates reflecting a modest decrease. This change is driven by analysts responding to updated financial models and ongoing sector headwinds.

Analyst Commentary

Recent analyst actions reflect a measured response to Hapag-Lloyd's updated financial outlook, leading to downward price target revisions. Opinions indicate a mix of caution and moderate optimism regarding the company's valuation and growth prospects.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Some analysts acknowledge Hapag-Lloyd's stable performance despite ongoing sector pressures. This suggests resilience in operational execution.
  • Updated financial models following recent quarterly results indicate that while price targets are trimmed, fundamentals remain largely intact.
  • The company's ability to maintain critical routes and service reliability is viewed as supportive for long-term growth potential.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts are cautious on near-term growth, citing persistent sector headwinds and a tougher competitive environment.
  • The reduction in price targets signals concerns around earnings momentum and the sustainability of recent financial performance.
  • Maintaining neutral or underweight ratings reflects skepticism regarding significant upside in current market conditions.
  • Analysts are wary about further downward adjustments if market dynamics do not improve or if the company faces additional cost pressures.

What's in the News

  • Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft raised its earnings guidance for 2025. The company now expects Group EBIT to be in the range of USD 0.25 to 1.25 billion (EUR 0.2 to 1.1 billion). (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value has decreased slightly from €108.45 to €107.09.
  • Discount Rate has declined marginally from 5.35% to 5.32%.
  • Revenue Growth projection has weakened, moving from -3.41% to -3.58%.
  • Net Profit Margin expectation has improved, rising from 6.03% to 6.24%.
  • Future P/E ratio has decreased from 20.43x to 19.58x, reflecting a lower anticipated valuation multiple.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.