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SZG: Earnings Will Face Challenges From Steel Price Volatility And Regulatory Shifts

Update shared on 02 Dec 2025

Fair value Increased 5.90%
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Salzgitter’s analyst price target has increased from €27.55 to €29.18, as analysts cite improved profit outlook and positive industry developments as reasons for the raised valuation.

Analyst Commentary

Recent analyst actions reflect a mix of optimism and caution about Salzgitter's performance and outlook. The following takeaways summarize prevailing views among research analysts regarding the company’s prospects, valuation, and potential risks.

Bullish Takeaways

  • Bullish analysts are increasing price targets substantially. They cite improved regulatory protections and structural industry trends that could support higher equity multiples in the coming years.
  • Significant upgrades in analyst ratings suggest stronger confidence in Salzgitter’s profit outlook and the company’s ability to benefit from favorable European market conditions, especially for flat-rolled steel products.
  • There is an expectation that Salzgitter’s exposure to European markets will drive earnings growth, particularly as future pricing dynamics evolve positively for the sector.
  • Raised recommendations to Buy and Outperform signal that execution on strategic initiatives and resilient market positioning are being recognized and rewarded in the company’s valuation.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Bearish analysts remain cautious and are lowering price targets in response to perceived headwinds or limited upside potential in the near term.
  • Some research notes maintain Neutral ratings. This indicates reservations about the sustainability of recent profit improvements or concerns over execution risks.
  • Potential volatility in steel prices and regulatory uncertainty could create challenges that may limit the company’s ability to achieve higher valuations consistently.

What's in the News

  • Salzgitter AG revised its earnings guidance for the financial year 2025 and now expects sales slightly above €9.0 billion. This compares to the previous range of €9.0 billion to €9.5 billion (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has increased from €27.55 to €29.18, reflecting a modest upward revision in estimated fair value.
  • Discount Rate has edged up slightly from 6.25% to 6.29%, indicating a marginal adjustment in perceived risk.
  • Revenue Growth projections have risen from 2.25% to 2.30%, signaling a marginally improved outlook for top-line expansion.
  • Net Profit Margin estimates have improved from 2.38% to 2.47%, suggesting an expectation of slightly greater profitability.
  • Future P/E ratio has moved higher, increasing from 7.68x to 7.83x. This signifies a slight shift in valuation multiples attributed to future earnings.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.