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DB1: Future Performance Will Benefit From Potential Allfunds Acquisition Progress

Update shared on 02 Dec 2025

Fair value Increased 1.59%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-1.6%
7D
-2.2%

Analysts have slightly raised their fair value price target for Deutsche Börse from €256.47 to €260.54. They cite modest improvements in growth assumptions and a marginally lower discount rate, even though recent street research updates have shown mixed movements.

Analyst Commentary

Recent street research reflects a nuanced perspective on Deutsche Börse, with analysts revising price targets both upward and downward amid shifts in sentiment regarding the company's outlook.

Bullish Takeaways

  • Bullish analysts have demonstrated increased confidence in Deutsche Börse’s growth prospects, with some modestly raising price targets to reflect expectations of improved performance.
  • Optimists cite incremental improvements in key business drivers, suggesting that top-line growth may outpace earlier projections.
  • Continued stability and a slight reduction in discount rates have supported upward adjustments to fair value estimates. This points to sustained resilience in execution.
  • The company maintains a solid standing in its sector, and the ongoing ability to meet consensus earnings forecasts provides reassurance for investors focused on consistent results.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Bearish analysts have tempered price targets for Deutsche Börse, reflecting caution over the potential for near-term outperformance.
  • Concerns persist that valuation is approaching a ceiling, with current market multiples already factoring in much of the anticipated growth.
  • Mixed sector trends and recent adjustments to rating outlooks suggest a degree of uncertainty around the pace and consistency of the company’s expansion.

What's in the News

  • Deutsche Börse Group confirms exclusive discussions with Allfunds Group plc regarding a potential acquisition of the entire issued and to be issued share capital of Allfunds, in line with its strategy to strengthen European capital markets (Key Developments).
  • The non-binding proposal for the Allfunds acquisition values each share at €8.80. The offer is split evenly between cash and new Deutsche Börse shares, with the possibility of additional 2025-2027 dividends for Allfunds shareholders (Key Developments).
  • Any binding offer for Allfunds is subject to customary due diligence, regulatory approvals, and board consent. There is no guarantee that a transaction will proceed or about its terms or timing (Key Developments).
  • Deutsche Börse recently hosted an Analyst/Investor Day, providing updates and engaging with market participants (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target (Fair Value): increased slightly from €256.47 to €260.54.
  • Discount Rate: decreased marginally from 6.30% to 6.27%.
  • Revenue Growth: updated to -1.69% from -1.85%, indicating a marginally less negative outlook.
  • Net Profit Margin: decreased from 35.81% to 35.50%.
  • Future P/E: increased from 22.43x to 22.85x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.