Update shared on 05 Dec 2025
Fair value Decreased 7.39%Analysts have trimmed their price target on thyssenkrupp nucera KGaA by approximately €0.86 to around €10.75. This reflects more cautious assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and the appropriate discount rate, despite higher long term valuation multiples.
What's in the News
- Management narrowed and raised earnings guidance for fiscal 2024/25, now expecting group sales of about €845 million and a positive EBIT of around €2 million, up from a loss of €14 million in 2023/24 (Corporate guidance 2024/25).
- New guidance for fiscal 2025/26 signals a revenue dip, with expected group sales between €500 million and €600 million and EBIT between €-30 million and €0 million, reflecting limited short term impact from new green hydrogen orders (Corporate guidance 2025/26).
- At the Chlorine Symposium 2025 in Cologne, the company unveiled next generation BM2.7 v7 and e BiTAC v7 electrolyzers that reduce power consumption to below 1,960 kWh per ton of NaOH, targeting higher efficiency and lower operating costs in Chlor Alkali electrolysis (Product related announcement, Chlorine Symposium 2025).
- A new 360 degree Life Cycle Service Portfolio for Chlor Alkali plants was launched, bundling maintenance, modernization, upgrade, staffing and digital solutions such as the “nucera EMS” safety system and “nucera administrator” maintenance software to improve uptime and operational planning (Product related announcement, Chlorine Symposium, Cologne).
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value: reduced slightly from approximately €11.61 to about €10.75 per share, reflecting more conservative assumptions.
- Discount Rate: increased modestly from roughly 5.99 percent to about 6.31 percent, raising the hurdle rate applied to future cash flows.
- Revenue Growth: downgraded notably from around minus 1.68 percent to approximately minus 4.44 percent per year, indicating a more cautious top line outlook.
- Net Profit Margin: lowered from about 4.42 percent to roughly 3.04 percent, incorporating weaker expected profitability.
- Future P/E: raised significantly from roughly 44.9x to about 66.9x, implying a higher valuation multiple on reduced earnings expectations.
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