Update shared on22 Aug 2025
Fair value Increased 6.08%Commerzbank's consensus analyst price target has been raised to €31.13, reflecting stronger-than-expected profitability, upward earnings revisions, and sustained net interest income growth, with analysts also citing improved cost discipline but some cautioning on valuation after the recent share rally.
Analyst Commentary
- Bullish analysts cited stronger-than-expected profitability and upward revisions to earnings estimates as key drivers for raising price targets.
- Expectations of sustained net interest income growth amid a supportive interest rate environment contributed positively to the updated valuations.
- Improved cost discipline and effective expense management were highlighted as factors supporting higher target prices.
- Bearish analysts raised concerns over valuation risks after the recent share price rally, cautioning that upside potential may be limited.
- Neutral analysts acknowledged solid capital position and asset quality, but remain cautious due to macroeconomic uncertainties impacting lending growth.
What's in the News
- Commerzbank is planning a significant risk transfer (SRT) on a €2 billion corporate loan portfolio to free up capital amid potential takeover interest from UniCredit.
- The SRT size would be approximately €140 million, or 6.9% of the reference portfolio.
- Commerzbank declined to comment on the matter.
Valuation Changes
Summary of Valuation Changes for Commerzbank
- The Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen from €29.35 to €31.13.
- The Future P/E for Commerzbank has significantly fallen from 16.76x to 9.27x.
- The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for Commerzbank remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from 7.7% per annum to 7.8% per annum.
Disclaimer
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