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ARYN: Leadership Change And Margin Outlook Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Analysts Lower ARYZTA Fair Value as Leadership Changes and Margins Weaken

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ARYN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Not Invested
Published 09 Mar 2025

Update shared on 06 Dec 2025

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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-18.6%
7D
-0.2%

Analysts have raised their price target for ARYZTA modestly, reflecting slightly stronger margin expectations that more than offset a marginally softer revenue growth outlook, while keeping the discount rate and long term valuation multiples broadly unchanged.

What's in the News

  • Board announces immediate leadership change as CEO Michael Schai steps down by mutual agreement, with the move described as being in the best interests of all stakeholders (Key Developments)
  • Chairman Urs Jordi is appointed interim CEO with immediate effect to ensure continuity of leadership and execution of the company strategy, while retaining his role as Chairman of ARYZTA AG (Key Developments)
  • ARYZTA confirms its 2025 earnings guidance, reiterating an unchanged organic growth outlook in the low to mid single digit range (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate unchanged at CHF 74.58 per share, indicating no revision to the intrinsic value assessment.
  • Discount Rate unchanged at 3.86 percent, implying a stable view of ARYZTA's risk profile and capital costs.
  • Revenue Growth lowered slightly from 2.47 percent to 2.44 percent, reflecting a marginally softer top line outlook.
  • Net Profit Margin stable at 5.60 percent, indicating no change in expected profitability.
  • Future P/E edged down from 16.08x to 15.97x, suggesting a marginally lower valuation multiple applied to forward earnings.

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Disclaimer

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