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Update shared on 23 Oct 2025

Fair value Decreased 8.71%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
CHF 78.72
34.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
23 Oct
CHF 51.95
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1Y
-14.9%
7D
-5.3%

Analysts have revised ARYZTA's fair value estimate downward from CHF 86.23 to CHF 78.72. This change reflects modestly softer projected profit margins, even though there are slight improvements in expected revenue growth.

What's in the News

  • ARYZTA AG confirms its earnings guidance for 2025 and maintains expectations for low to mid-single digit organic growth (Company statement).
  • The Board of Directors has unanimously agreed, alongside Michael Schai, that he will step down immediately as CEO. Urs Jordi, current Chairman, is appointed as interim CEO to ensure continued leadership and strategy delivery (Company statement).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate: Decreased from CHF 86.23 to CHF 78.72. This reflects a moderate downward adjustment.
  • Discount Rate: Remains unchanged at 3.82%, indicating consistent assumptions on required returns.
  • Revenue Growth: Increased slightly from 2.44% to 2.47%.
  • Net Profit Margin: Declined from 5.88% to 5.60%.
  • Future P/E Ratio: Reduced from 17.69x to 17.04x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.