Update shared on 19 Nov 2025
Analysts have modestly revised their price targets for VAT Group downward. Recent adjustments reflect a cautious outlook, as updated targets ranged from CHF 285 to CHF 340 based on tempered expectations for sector recovery and company performance.
Analyst Commentary
Recent analyst updates on VAT Group reflect a range of perspectives regarding the company's outlook, valuation, and sector dynamics. Their opinions touch on the pace of earnings recovery, existing market expectations, and the company's ability to execute through challenging cycles.
Bullish Takeaways
- Bullish analysts see signs that current share prices may already reflect a period of soft sector demand. This suggests downside is limited from here.
- Revised upward price targets show improving confidence in VAT Group's mid-term operating performance and execution, especially in the face of sector headwinds.
- Expectations for group EBITDA in fiscal years 2025 and 2026 are above consensus according to some bullish analysts, indicating optimism about longer-term growth potential.
- Upgrades in ratings are driven by the view that the market is over-penalizing the lack of short-term capex recovery in the semiconductor sector.
Bearish Takeaways
- Bearish analysts remain cautious, modestly lowering targets due to ongoing uncertainty in the timing of sector recovery and demand visibility.
- Tempered expectations for near-term performance suggest concern over execution risks in the current macro environment.
- Some analysts anticipate a potential decline in forward EBITDA. This suggests the current valuation may face pressure if recovery is slower than anticipated.
- Maintaining neutral to hold ratings reflects limited conviction that VAT Group will significantly outperform in the near term, keeping future upside in check.
What's in the News
- VAT Group AG issued earnings guidance for the final quarter of 2025, expecting sales in the range of CHF 225 million to CHF 245 million (Company Guidance).
Valuation Changes
- Discount Rate has increased marginally from 5.12% to 5.12%. This indicates a slightly higher perceived risk in projected cash flows.
- Revenue Growth expectations remain unchanged at approximately 11.27%.
- Net Profit Margin is steady at around 24.51%, reflecting consistent profitability forecasts.
- Future P/E ratio has edged up slightly from 34.56x to 34.57x, signaling a minor adjustment in forward valuation multiples.
- Consensus Fair Value estimate is unchanged at CHF 351.80.
Disclaimer
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